"WHEN FASCISM COMES TO AMERICA IT WILL BE WRAPPED IN THE FLAG
AND CARRYING A CROSS." -SINCLAIR LEWIS

Sunday, June 1, 2008

Obama Will Win, Eventually

It's been an annoyingly long rollercoaster ride, but I now feel confident in saying that Barack Obama has won the Democratic nomination for president of the United States. From MSNBC:

Out of the day, Clinton got 87 pledged delegates to Obama's 63 for a net of 24. (52.5 to 33.5 out of Florida; 34.5 to 29.5 out of Michigan.)

Obama is now 62.5 delegates away from clinching the nomination with a new magic number 2,118. This is when the nine (cut to 4.5) Edwards pledged delegates (out of 13) in Florida, who have pledged to vote for Obama, are factored in. Without them, Obama would be 67 away.

Clinton, on the other hand, would need 238 delegates.

NBC NEWS has also now added officially 5.5 more superdelegates for Obama and 7.5 for Clinton (half of 8-6 for Clinton in FL; and 7-5 for her in MI).

Assuming Clinton and Obama split the remaining 86 delegates at stakes in Puerto Rico, South Dakota and Montana evenly (43 apiece), that would put Sen. Obama 19.5 away from clinching the nomination. (So, for all practical purposes, he would need about 20 superdelegates to hit the magic number.) Clinton would need 195.
Clinton can still appeal this outcome a day before the national convention in August, and if she does: God help us (and I type that with all intended irony, considering my atheistic leanings). Here's hoping that Obama has several dozen delegates (I believe that he probably does, based on his history of strategic politics) in his back pocket. He needs to end this thing decisively in the eyes of the voters and start to seriously focus on November.

On a related and slightly more entertaining note, check out this video of a crazed Clinton supporter filmed after the Rules committee announced their ruling yesterday:
Could you imagine living with this harridan? One shudders.

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